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OWL End of Stage 1 - Making playoffs

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#1
CommanderX

After Day2:

So I was figuring out what the situation was for all the teams in the playoff race after Day 1 (Warning this thread will contain spoilers if you have seen the Day 1 results).

Here is the situation for each team:

  • London Spitfire currently on 7-1 +18 - If they win 1 game they will 100% be in playoffs, two hard games vs HO and NYXL. If they lose both could drop out of playoffs on map difference

  • NYXL currently on 7-1 +17 - If they win 1 game they will 100% be in playoffs, 1 game vs LS and 1 vs FM so should be in playoffs.

  • LA Valiant currently on 6-3 +9 - 1 game left v SD should finish on 7-3 +13, depends on other results

  • Seoul Dynasty currently on 6-3 +8 - 1 game left v SFS should finish 7-3 +12, depends on other results

  • Houston Outlaws currently on 5-3 +14 - 2 hard games vs Spitfire and BU, need to win both but if they can have the map difference and will qualify for playoffs

  • Boston Uprising currently on 5-3 +7 - 2 games left v PHF and HO. Best they can finish on is 7-3 +15, unlikely but still possible.

  • Philadelphia Fusion currently on 5-3 -1 - 1 hard game v BU then V FM. Best they can finish on is 7-3 +7, would need other teams to choke big time to qualify.

Conclusions

So NYXL is in the best position as they just need to beat FM to go through.

London Spitfire has two hard games but is still in charge of their own destiny.

LA Valiant will stay in third position as long as they don't drop a map to Shanghai, and Houston Outlaws don't win both their games, and Boston Uprising don't win both their games by significant margins.

Seoul Dynasty need LA Valiant to drop maps, and Houston Outlaws not to win both their games, and Boston Uprising not to win both their games by significant margins.

Houston Outlaws have the hardest fixtures but if they win both games by any margin, no one can catch their map difference.

Boston Uprising need two win both their games by significant margins or hope Seoul or LAV drop multiple maps in their final games.

Philadelphia Fusion are still mathematically in but need LAV and Seoul to both lose their final games. Plus Houston Outlaws and Boston Uprising to lose.

I think I worked that all out correctly, let me know if anything is wrong or if I missed anything.Will update as each day goes by to try and keep track of everything

After Day 3:

NYXL 8-1 +20 - Have made playoffs. Any win in their next game will secure the top seed. As will a 3-2 loss.

London Spitfire 7-2 +16 - Any win will secure them playoffs, greater than 3-2 scoreline will make them first seed. If they lose it will come down to map difference.

Houston Outlaws 6-3 +16 - Any win will secure them playoffs on map difference. If they do win and London Spitfire lose by any margin then they will move into second.

Boston Uprising 6-3 +11 - If they beat Houston by a scoreline of 3-1 or more they will make playoffs.

LA Valiant 6-3 +9 - Best they can finish is 7-3 +13 by 4-0 Shanghai. If they do this then they can take third if Boston beat Outlaws 3-2. Or if NYXL wins 4-0 v Spitfire. If all of these happen they could even take second.

Seoul Dynasty 6-3 +8 - Best they can finish is 7-3 +12 if they 4-0 San Fran. If they do this then they can take third if Boston wins 3-2 as they will tie on map difference but be ahead on head-to-head. They would also need LA Valiant to only by 2 maps or less against the Shanghai Dragons.

Philadelphia Fusion 5-4 -5 - Can no longer make playoffs

After Day 4:

NYXL 8-1 +20 - Have made playoffs. Any win in their next game will secure top seed. As will a 3-2 loss.

London Spitfire 7-2 +16 - Any win will qualify them for playoffs, if they do so by 2 maps or more they will finish first. If they lose by 3-0 or less they will still make playoffs.

LA Valiant 7-3 +13 - Will make playoffs if Spitfire lose 4-0. Or if Boston win 3-2.

Seoul Dynasty 7-3 +9 - Can no longer make playoffs.

Houston Outlaws 6-3 +16 - Any win will qualify them for playoffs. Will also take second place too if Spitfire lose vs NYXL.

Boston Uprising 6-3 +11 - Will make playoffs if they beat Houston by a scoreline of 3-1 or greater. Or if Spitfire lose 4-0 then any win will be enough.

Philadelphia Fusion 5-4 -5 - Can no longer make playoffs

#2
poi98
4
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+

this is something interesting...ty Commander! I hope Philly or Boston to get in. But if that will be Valiant i have no problems( Soon deserve this)

#3
wentaway
3
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Nice job Commander! And damn are all Italians siding for the same teams Poi? Me to hope for Philly or Boston, even if tehy are the less likely. :D

#4
poi98
3
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Aahahah....probably europeans and underdogs are something common in italy ahaha :D

#5
darkcvc
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Come on Houston you got this!!!!!

#6
Sayabi
1
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GO PHILLY

I BELIEVE

AND WHEN I BELIEVE, EVERYTHING IS POSSIBLE

#7
JBZ_tv
0
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very weird abbreviations, who says LS?

#8
CommanderX
1
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Updated, it's 5 am here so someone might wanna check my working :D

#9
Wombat
1
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LA are playing Shanghai and Seoul are playing Shock, apart from that it looks good

#11
wentaway
1
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No excuses! Mistakes are not accepted!!!

Jokes asides, you guys (in this case you Commander) are simply amazing, the dedication you have for the scene is simply mind blowing! <3

#10
Loco
1
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anyone know why each team is playing 10 matches instead of 11? seems potentially unfair

#12
LaurenceR
1
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I think it's to make it fit nicely into a schedule, but yes, unfortunately it does mean some teams have an easier run than others, and this criticism has been raised before.

#13
CommanderX
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Another late night update. It is so fucking close it's crazy

#14
wentaway
1
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It ain't even night anymore mate, it's 7 friggin AM! (6 I guess in the UK)

Damn yes it's close, but despite being my least favoruite of the lot (Uprising, Valiant and Huston) I truly believe Huston will make to the playoff with the 2 remaining KO team.

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